On the morning of August 29, 2005, at 5 am, an hour before hurricane Katrina struck land near New Orleans, the US Army Corps of Engineers received a report that the levees of the 17th Street Canal, the city’s largest drainage canal, had been breached.
Within 24 hours 27 more breaches had occurred and over the next few days there were 50.
One breach might have been manageable, but by the time there were over 50, there was no way to avert disaster. The weight of the water simply found the weak spots in the construction and overwhelmed the defenses. The water didn’t “know” where to look and it didn’t “try” to find weak spots; water has no consciousness or memory; it simply finds weak points in the levees by pressing everywhere.
The same is true for viruses. The popular press and speakers talk about how COVID-19 viruses are “learning” how to mutate, how to avoid vaccines and how to become more contagious. But, like the water in Katrina, the virus has no consciousness; it simply randomly creates mutations as it reproduces and some of those mutations give the new progeny an infection advantage over existing strains and thereby take over from them.
As I have previously mentioned, this mutation rate is measurable and known; it remains constant. The more infections that occur, the more replications occur, and the more mutations occur. This leads to more variants of the virus and those that have an infective advantage take over. One variant is manageable, the levee will hold, but when the number of variants becomes too large and unmanageable, our defenses collapse.
This is true everywhere. Here in the US, if we don’t get 80% of the population vaccinated, we will continue to see the emergence of new variants. Eventually one of those variants will escape the vaccination protections we have, and we will need new vaccines and/or boosters. Hospitalizations will surge as will deaths.
You may remember a time not so long ago that you knew the names of the COVID-19 variants: first there was the UK variant, then the South Africa variant and then the Brazil variant. Today, there are at least 15 variants circulating and as infections continue to rise, we can expect new variants to arise proportionately.
Eventually one of those will escape the protection of the immunity conferred through current vaccinations, and that variant will spread, first to those countries in which it arises, then through the rest of the world, even to the US and its immunized population.
This is not a “doomsday scenario”; we can avert this problem with two simple steps:
- Get everyone you know including those who are skeptical to get vaccinated so that we achieve 80% vaccinations by the end of this summer
- Do everything possible to convince the US Government, the UN, the WHO and every charitable and philanthropic agency that you have contact with to work tirelessly to vaccinate the world. Your health, the health of your neighbors and family is linked to the health of the population in India, Brazil, Russia, China, Nigeria and every other place in the world. Vaccinating THEM is the only way to secure YOUR health.
