Healthcare
I have been following the data associated with testing, cases, hospitalizations, ICU admittance and deaths. There are problems associated with each of these data sources, but I believe there is still significant value to be gleaned from looking at the historical...
Exciting news this week as the FDA has approved the use of Convalescent Plasma (CP) for treating COVID-19 patients in emergency hospital settings. It is not my purpose here to discuss the politics surrounding this approval, nor do I want to address any potential...
A mime is walking down the street. Suddenly he bumps into something in front of him/her. There is nothing visible there, but the mime can’t seem to be able to pass through. He reaches out with his hands and “feels” the barrier. His hands move up and down the wall,...
IVERMECTIN Recently, there has been some activity on the web concerning the possibility that another anti-malarial drug may show some promise for fighting COVID-19. As with Hydroxychloroquine, this drug, Ivermectin has been around for a long time and its use has...
VACCINE TESTING Today’s news that Russia has “approved” a COVID-19 vaccine is troubling. As I had mentioned in my essay last week, I had expected this announcement, but not for another few weeks. I expect China will follow on shortly. The scary part of the...
TRUMP IS CORRECT ON MORTALITY RATES The problem with Mr. Trump’s approach is that it is simply impossible at this time to calculate the ratios that he would like to use. Those of you who follow my essays understand that I look at death statistics because they are...
Some notes at the end of July 2020. The attached chart shows the deaths in the US since the middle of March from COVID-19. In this case I have charted the average daily deaths per week since then to be able to compare month to month changes. I believe that this is...
There is good news in testing. As Mr. Trump has said, the US is doing a large amount of testing. Of the major countries in the world, the US has done more testing than any of them save China. China has performed over 90 million tests, the US over 55 million, Russia...
If you want an example of what September will look like in public schools, just look at MLB today. Even with extensive testing, masks, procedures, isolation, new rules reducing contact, etc., etc., today 8 more Marlins players and 2 coaches have tested positive for...
I want to coin a new term: “Arationalist”. I admit that my life experiences and job training have taught me to look at data, analyze it and either confirm, modify or change my conclusions and my prospective viewpoints. This “scientific” model of...
The following conversation was (not) heard in the White House in late May: General Jes Dooit: Mr. President, I have been asked to brief you on a recommended strategy for the coronavirus war with which we are engaged. First, I want to give you some military history...
Some unconnected observations. As expected, the hospitalization rates are increasing in those states that opened a month ago. There has been the anticipated lag, and now the slope of those increases has begun to parallel the identified case increase. Deaths have...